Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.219931 3.462602 3.724724 4.030701 4.380405 4.770481 5.242596
2025-12-07 2.795737 3.108955 3.467257 3.913347 4.462534 5.128830 6.018763
2025-12-14 2.520072 2.857585 3.257034 3.774512 4.442866 5.301361 6.532716
2025-12-21 2.374447 2.737445 3.179825 3.773450 4.574555 5.661092 7.335208
2025-12-28 2.247231 2.624845 3.095907 3.746450 4.657349 5.952779 8.084020
2026-01-04 2.103511 2.479198 2.955525 3.626859 4.592315 6.014739 8.477334
2026-01-11 2.021312 2.405812 2.902084 3.617585 4.678322 6.307100 9.307581
2026-01-18 1.978312 2.379640 2.907749 3.688480 4.886371 6.816599 10.653259
2026-01-25 2.083646 2.555904 3.200328 4.200174 5.843252 8.773576 15.709805
2026-02-01 1.961418 2.414049 3.035579 4.008156 5.626455 8.568548 15.785108
2026-02-08 1.842680 2.272264 2.864273 3.795219 5.355482 8.224193 15.412292
2026-02-15 1.781425 2.208122 2.801903 3.748210 5.366047 8.435557 16.611972
2026-02-22 1.717661 2.144368 2.746252 3.723687 5.442904 8.858809 18.863442
2026-03-01 1.634581 2.050345 2.642105 3.615354 5.360858 8.943487 20.205792
2026-03-08 1.555583 1.958271 2.535360 3.493743 5.238724 8.913504 21.162276
2026-03-15 1.513561 1.917385 2.503117 3.492772 5.344366 9.433239 24.722500
2026-03-22 1.469421 1.871199 2.459847 3.468996 5.401640 9.852599 28.432049
2026-03-29 1.409293 1.799078 2.372895 3.363507 5.282280 9.794416 29.753110
2026-04-05 1.375616 1.764710 2.342979 3.355315 5.361686 10.287862 35.053097
2026-04-12 1.359832 1.756144 2.352856 3.417895 5.598278 11.301093 46.710973
2026-04-19 1.422253 1.868224 2.562575 3.866802 6.785876 16.013888 161.412249
2026-04-26 1.361015 1.787641 2.451765 3.698909 6.488974 15.300226 153.161111
2026-05-03 1.298753 1.704036 2.333595 3.511936 6.132503 14.298454 131.109275